08-06-2016, 11:00
Lyoness Open
A weak field for Austria's premier golf event with Weisberger, Luiten & Wood the three stand out players (all previous winners here), all at single figure prices to win here. We can pick our favourite of these three or look for longer priced players to take them on.
We have decent course form for the Diamond Country Club course and I think that GIR, Scrambling & Putting will be the key statistics to look for here.
I am going for one of the favourites then a few players who have the ability to leap out of the pack once or twice per season to pull off that big result.
Bernd Wiesberger 15/2
A shorter price than I would like for a player who can be inconsistent and out of things pretty quickly but I prefer his chances to Luiten (who has gone off the boil) and Wood who is defending & looking for back to back wins. It is his home tournament and hopefully he will hold it together better than last season when he was dead after the first round. He has three top five finishes (including a win) in the last five years here. Scrambling is important here & he topped the Scrambling stats at Wentworth - a continuation here will see him very close, if his putting is on song.
Lee Slaterry 40/1
In a field of this strength, 40/1 is more than fair. Slattery doesn't come to the party every week but if he comes this week then he could win it. He has two Top Ten finishes here so likes the course and is right up there in GIR stats, which should be vital here.
David Horsey 80/1
Horsey is one of those players that disappears for most of the season but once or twice jumps out there to grab a win or a place in a weaker field. He has been on my radar quite a bit recently but the either field has been too strong or the price too short. This week, the price is long enough & the field weak enough. He probably will miss the cut but his chances of a win are a fair bit better than 80/1.
Marc Warren 80/1
Another player that you wouldn't put your mortgage on but has hit some impressive rounds recently, sadly interspersed with some poor ones. Cut out the poor rounds & Warren could be close here.
There are a few other players that I will be watching - Dunne, Burmester, Broberg, Jensen, Lorenzo Vera & Van Der Walt.
Good Luck!
A weak field for Austria's premier golf event with Weisberger, Luiten & Wood the three stand out players (all previous winners here), all at single figure prices to win here. We can pick our favourite of these three or look for longer priced players to take them on.
We have decent course form for the Diamond Country Club course and I think that GIR, Scrambling & Putting will be the key statistics to look for here.
I am going for one of the favourites then a few players who have the ability to leap out of the pack once or twice per season to pull off that big result.
Bernd Wiesberger 15/2
A shorter price than I would like for a player who can be inconsistent and out of things pretty quickly but I prefer his chances to Luiten (who has gone off the boil) and Wood who is defending & looking for back to back wins. It is his home tournament and hopefully he will hold it together better than last season when he was dead after the first round. He has three top five finishes (including a win) in the last five years here. Scrambling is important here & he topped the Scrambling stats at Wentworth - a continuation here will see him very close, if his putting is on song.
Lee Slaterry 40/1
In a field of this strength, 40/1 is more than fair. Slattery doesn't come to the party every week but if he comes this week then he could win it. He has two Top Ten finishes here so likes the course and is right up there in GIR stats, which should be vital here.
David Horsey 80/1
Horsey is one of those players that disappears for most of the season but once or twice jumps out there to grab a win or a place in a weaker field. He has been on my radar quite a bit recently but the either field has been too strong or the price too short. This week, the price is long enough & the field weak enough. He probably will miss the cut but his chances of a win are a fair bit better than 80/1.
Marc Warren 80/1
Another player that you wouldn't put your mortgage on but has hit some impressive rounds recently, sadly interspersed with some poor ones. Cut out the poor rounds & Warren could be close here.
There are a few other players that I will be watching - Dunne, Burmester, Broberg, Jensen, Lorenzo Vera & Van Der Walt.
Good Luck!
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