04-05-2016, 10:47
Trophee Hassan II
Before we start this week's preview, let's reflect on last week where Jamie Lovemark was just a stroke from victory in New Orleans, losing in a Playoff giving us a 50/1 full place.
The European Tour moves to Morocco this week and we have probably the weakest field of the year so far so a great opportunity for a maiden winner or someone to stamp their class against the rest. The event moves to the Royal Golf Club Dar Es Salam where we have limited course form. What we do know is that the couse is likely to favour GIR players with little advantage for long driving.
The field is led by Alexander Levy & Alejandro Canizares. I like Canazares but cannot get too excited by 16/1 on a player who blows hot & cold. In fact, it is hard to pick a strategy here because the players that I like to back at 50/1+ are half their usual price this week so going for a mix of prices. Here is a portfolio that should net us a place or two & might catch us the winner. There are arguments for Burmester, Dunne, Pepperell, and a few others but this is our team for this week.
Gregory Bourdy 22/1
A player I have dabbled with recently who could blow this field apart or could do nothing. I would prefer a bigger price but 22/1 will look massive if he holds a five shot lead after 54 holes. He has decent form and if he steps it up a notch........
Andrew Johnston 25/1
Won the Spanish Open three weeks ago and after a couple of weeks rest, he is back. If he is anywhere near that form then he is the most likely winner here.
Dylan Frittelli 40/1
Frittelli caught my eye with his second place at the Australian PGA in December and has been in decent form since with top twenty finishes in South African Open, Tshwane Open, Kenya Open & Egyptian Challenge. Could be his breakthrough week.
Mike Lorenzo Vera 66/1
Has gone close a few times recently interspersed with several missed cuts. If he is on this week then he could burst clear & stay there. His 6th place at the Spanish Open was quality. Just needs to repeat that against a weaker field.
Christiaan Bezuidenhuit 75/1
Regular followers will know I am a fan of the young South African who has already bagged us a second place at 250/1. This course is perfect for him and at 75/1, he is a snip.
Ross McGowan 110/1
Finished 12th in SA Open & 10th in Joburg Open. On a similar course here & against a weaker field, could just make the jump up.
Good Luck!
Before we start this week's preview, let's reflect on last week where Jamie Lovemark was just a stroke from victory in New Orleans, losing in a Playoff giving us a 50/1 full place.
The European Tour moves to Morocco this week and we have probably the weakest field of the year so far so a great opportunity for a maiden winner or someone to stamp their class against the rest. The event moves to the Royal Golf Club Dar Es Salam where we have limited course form. What we do know is that the couse is likely to favour GIR players with little advantage for long driving.
The field is led by Alexander Levy & Alejandro Canizares. I like Canazares but cannot get too excited by 16/1 on a player who blows hot & cold. In fact, it is hard to pick a strategy here because the players that I like to back at 50/1+ are half their usual price this week so going for a mix of prices. Here is a portfolio that should net us a place or two & might catch us the winner. There are arguments for Burmester, Dunne, Pepperell, and a few others but this is our team for this week.
Gregory Bourdy 22/1
A player I have dabbled with recently who could blow this field apart or could do nothing. I would prefer a bigger price but 22/1 will look massive if he holds a five shot lead after 54 holes. He has decent form and if he steps it up a notch........
Andrew Johnston 25/1
Won the Spanish Open three weeks ago and after a couple of weeks rest, he is back. If he is anywhere near that form then he is the most likely winner here.
Dylan Frittelli 40/1
Frittelli caught my eye with his second place at the Australian PGA in December and has been in decent form since with top twenty finishes in South African Open, Tshwane Open, Kenya Open & Egyptian Challenge. Could be his breakthrough week.
Mike Lorenzo Vera 66/1
Has gone close a few times recently interspersed with several missed cuts. If he is on this week then he could burst clear & stay there. His 6th place at the Spanish Open was quality. Just needs to repeat that against a weaker field.
Christiaan Bezuidenhuit 75/1
Regular followers will know I am a fan of the young South African who has already bagged us a second place at 250/1. This course is perfect for him and at 75/1, he is a snip.
Ross McGowan 110/1
Finished 12th in SA Open & 10th in Joburg Open. On a similar course here & against a weaker field, could just make the jump up.
Good Luck!
The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.