15-03-2016, 21:21
Arnold Palmer Invitational
This longstanding event on the calendar takes place at Bay Hill Country Club where it has been played for over 30 years. That should mean that we have a good idea what is required but there have been several course adjustments in recent years that need to be built into the equation. The net effect showed last year in that it took a score of -19 to win whereas previously -15 had usually been enough.
Rory McIlroy is favourite with Scott, Stenson, Day, Rose & Matsuyama tucked in behind. I really don't want to go too short here. Scott is reasonable at 8/1 but the other market leaders all have questions about them.
Matt Every has won this event for the last two years so long shots can beat the favourites although there is little to suggest that he will get the hat trick. Hopefully, we can find a few who will give us a good run at a decent price.
Paul Casey 50/1 A course that should suit him and he has been coming back to form recently. Should be good value at this price.
William McGirt 80/1 Has been operating below the radar but is starting to get some attention. At the back end of 2015, he picked up an 8th & a 2nd and he has four top 25 finishes (13th, 24th, 20th, 8th) from six starts.
Scott Brown 100/1 Here is a player who is just coming into form. 39th, 10th & 7th in his last three events, Brown could give a great run at a cracking price.
I notice McGirt is first out so might be worth a FRL bet as well. Quite like Smylie Kaufman as well.
This longstanding event on the calendar takes place at Bay Hill Country Club where it has been played for over 30 years. That should mean that we have a good idea what is required but there have been several course adjustments in recent years that need to be built into the equation. The net effect showed last year in that it took a score of -19 to win whereas previously -15 had usually been enough.
Rory McIlroy is favourite with Scott, Stenson, Day, Rose & Matsuyama tucked in behind. I really don't want to go too short here. Scott is reasonable at 8/1 but the other market leaders all have questions about them.
Matt Every has won this event for the last two years so long shots can beat the favourites although there is little to suggest that he will get the hat trick. Hopefully, we can find a few who will give us a good run at a decent price.
Paul Casey 50/1 A course that should suit him and he has been coming back to form recently. Should be good value at this price.
William McGirt 80/1 Has been operating below the radar but is starting to get some attention. At the back end of 2015, he picked up an 8th & a 2nd and he has four top 25 finishes (13th, 24th, 20th, 8th) from six starts.
Scott Brown 100/1 Here is a player who is just coming into form. 39th, 10th & 7th in his last three events, Brown could give a great run at a cracking price.
I notice McGirt is first out so might be worth a FRL bet as well. Quite like Smylie Kaufman as well.
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