[madsteve]

Football League Bets

Quite a decent set of fixtures tonight and an opportunity to get stuck in.

Peterboro v Barnsley

There should be goals here. Matches at London Road are feauring more shots than any other ground in England at professional level as Graham Westley tries to meet his promises. The Posh average over 19 attempts per home game since August while conceding on average over 15 attempts per game. The last five matches have all gone over 2.5 Goals and average five goals per game. Barnsley's away matches aren't as high scoring but do match up pretty well with six of their nine matches going over 2.5 Goals. Bet FOUR POINTS on Over 2.5 Goals at 1.74.

Swindon v Walsall

This looks like a low corners match to me. Seven of Town's nine home matches have failed to reach 10.5 Corners at an average of 8.56 while six of Walsall's eight away matches have fallen short of this line at an average of 9.75. My only concern here is the number of 9 & 10 corner outcomes but still see decent value. Bet TWO POINTS on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.85

Accrington v Hartlepool

Sometimes you have to ride the wave and high goals at Accrington is the latest wave. Their last six home matches have finished 4-2 2-1 1-3 3-4 3-1 2-2. Pool's away record is only 5-4 in favour of overs but let's ride the wave. Bet TWO POINTS on Over 2.5 Goals at 2.02.

Bristol Rovers v Stevenage

This should be a high corners match. Stevenage's away record for high corners is outstanding and even at a line of 11.5, we would have won 7 times out of 9 on their games this season at an average of 13.57. Rovers match up reasonably well with 4 of their last 6 at home clearing this line. Bet TWO POINTS on Over 11.5 Corners at 5/6.

A more conservative option would be to to go over 11 corners with a draw no bet at 1.75 but I prefer the higher risk here as neither team has finished on 11 corners yet.

Good Luck!