[madsteve]

BMW Masters - Day Three

Despite our players being a little off the pace, this is proving to be a fascinating event with several players up there who have proved to be flaky this season. Jaidee leads by one shot and I think that the 4/1 available on him now represents good value. I see An (8/1) as his main challenger, just one shot behind and playing pretty well. Garcia & Bjerregaard are also one shot back but looked far less convincing and both have shown that they struggle on Sundays.

Further back, Broberg & Reed hit 64s & Pieters hit a 63 to give them live outside chances if they can repeat it tomorrow.

Justin Rose 6/1 -10 Tied 13th
Branden Grace 18/1 -5 Tied 27th
Danny Willett 25/1 -5 Tied 27th
Matt Fitzpatrick 30/1 -10 Tied 13th
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 50/1 -3 Tied 40th
Hao Tong Li 100/1 -3 Tied 40th

I am considering backing Jaidee & An against the field because I feel that the credentials of the closest challengers (Garcia & Bjerregaard) are questionable. In many ways I would love Bjerregaard to win because he is a real talent and needs a win to allow him to relax & show his true ability. Sadly I cannot see it happening here.

There are a few lively outsiders that could get in the shake up with a 64 or 65, most notably Broberg, Casey, Pieters, Rose & Fitzpatrick but if any of the leading four shoot 66 then it pretty much rules out the rest.

The other option is to go for an each way bet on players like Pieters at 50/1 or Fitzpatrick at 80/1.

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Correct Score Bets:

Bradford v Crewe 1-0 2-0
Swindon v Scunthorpe 1-2 2-2
Luton v Barnet 1-1 2-1
Oxford v Cambridge 0-0 1-0

Good Luck!