[madsteve]

WGC - HSBC Championship

Most of the top players in the world are here (Jason Day is the notable exception) with both Fed Ex points and Race to Dubai points on offer. Rory McIlroy & Jordan Speith dominate the market which means that there is plenty of value to be had in opposing these two this week. They have contrasting form here. McIlroy has four consecutive top ten finishes but I couldn't back him at 6/1 after watching him last week while Speith hasn't been in contention in two attempts here.

The event is being played on the Sheshan International Course which has been used for this event for several years. A look at the most recent winners (Bubba Watson & Dustin Johnson) shows that big hitters tend to do well here. It has traditionally taken a score of better than -20 to win but they toughened up the course last year and Bubba won with -11. I expect a similar winning score this year.

Quality players tend to come through here with the five of the last six winners here being previous major winners.

Martin Kaymer 40/1

Kaymer won here four years ago and has finished top ten in the last two years. Hasn't played for a month so form is unknown but has twice won after having a month off so happy to go with him at this price.

Louis Oosthuizen 40/1

Oost has six consecutive Top 20 finishes on this course so I expect his to be in contention. Second place in two majors suggest that he should be a lot shorter than this price.

Justin Thomas 30/1

Has driving distance on a par with the best so this course should suit him far better than Kuala Lumpur last week, where he was the best player by a distance. The opposition will be tougher this week but Thomas could be a multiple winner this season.

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66/1

Cannot help but be impressed by this guys game. Not the prettiest swing on tour but he always seems to be in contention. He has a couple of wins this season in the Shenzhen International and the Saltaire Energy Paul Lawrie Match Play but it is his last three performances that command respect - 4th in the Alfred Dunhill, Tied 5th in the British Masters & Third in the Turkish Airlines Open last week. This course is similar to the one in Turkey so despite the higher class field, I have big hopes.

Thorbjorn Olesen 125/1

A bit of a punt but he won the Alfred Dunhill last month, finished 5th in the Czech Masters and 2nd in the Mauritius Open. Add in that he finished 6th here last year, he could be good value at this price.

Good Luck!