[madsteve]

More than happy with Luiten & Horsey, Tied 4th on -7, two off the lead. Clearly the morning players had the best of the weather so it could turn around tomorrow if the wind gets up in the afternoon. Pieters did well to get to -2 while the wind was up but Jimenez has a lot to do, finishing on level par.

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Have been backing Serena Williams to win her matches 2-1 recently and am on a profit for the US Open with this as the price is usually around 3/1. She is 5/1 for a 2-1 against Vinci in her semi final with Paddy Power which looks like value to me as I would price it up at around half those odds at 5/2.

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Three bets for this weekend, all small as I wouldn't recommend getting up to full stakes this early in the season.

Leeds v Brentford

This looks like a decent bet for low corners. All of Leeds' last eight home matches have failed to reach 10.5 corners at an average of 8.4 per match. Seven of Brentford's last eight on the road have also fallen short of this line at an average of 9.0. Bet on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.95 (Bet365)

Oldham v Peterboro

This looks like a high corners match unless a change of management at Peterboro changes the way they play. Bet365 have set their line at 11 corners here. This bet would have won four times, pushed twice & lost once in the Latics last seven home matches at an average of 12.9 corners per match. It would have won seven times & pushed twice in United's last nine away matches at an average of 13.1. Bet on Over 11 Corners (DNB) at 1.90 (Bet365).

Cambridge v Leyton Orient

This looks like a good match for goals. The U's last six home matches have all gone over 2.5 goals while all of the O's away matches this season have had four goals. This makes the available odds of 1.95 on Betfair pretty attractive for Over 2.5 Goals.

Good Luck!

Two out of three winning bets on the football with comfortable wins at Leeds & Oldham for a tidy profit.

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End of Day Three:

Joost Luiten 20/1 -8 Tied 25th

David Horsey 50/1 -10 Tied 15th

Thomas Pieters 75/1 -14 4th

Pieters goes from strength to strength. Still pretty open with all three possible of at least a place.

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How are our long term bets doing?

Here are comparisons of our price with the current price.

Championship

Middlesbrough to Win (e/w) 11/2 (Now 11/4)
Sheff Wed to Win (e/w) 28/1 (Now 50/1)
Huddersfield to be Relegated 4/1 (Now 9/4)
Blackburn to be Relegated 8/1 (Now 7/2)
Burnley Top North West Side 6/5 (Now 5/6)
Sheff Wed Top Half 4/5 (Now 11/10)
Birmingham Top Half 5/4 (Now 4/5)
Blackburn Bottom Half 5/6 (Now 4/11)
QPR Bottom Half 11/8 (Now 13/8)
Leeds Bottom Half 4/6 (Now 4/6)
Benik Afobe Top Goalscorer 9/1 (now unavailable)
David Nugent Top Goalscorer 16/1 (Now unavailable)
Top Six - Middlesbrough 4/6 (Now 3/10)
Top Six - Hull City Evens (Now 10/11)



League One

Swindon to Win (e/w) 18/1 (Now 20/1)
Barnsley to Win (e/w) 20/1 (Now 28/1)
Bury to Win (e/w) 35/1 (Now 20/1)
Blackpool to be Relegated 11/5 (Now 4/11)
Southend to be Relegated 4/1 (Now 5/1)
Port Vale to be Relegated 13/8 (Now 9/2)
Top Half - Burton Evens (Now 4/9)
Top Half - Rochdale 6/4 (Now 8/13)
Top Half - Shrewsbury 5/6 (Now 4/5)
Top Half - Bury 10/11 (Now 4/7)
Bottom Half - Chesterfield 10/11 (Now 11/8)
Bottom Half - Walsall 8/11 (Now 9/4)
Leon Clarke Top Goalscorer 16/1 (Now unavailable)
Tom Bradshaw Top Goalscorer 25/1 (Now unavailable)
Paddy Madden Top Goalscorer 25/1 (Now unavailable)
Top Six Swindon 2/1 (Now 9/4)
Top Six Barnsley 2/1 (Now 10/3)


League Two

Portsmouth to Win (e/w) 4/1 (Now 3/1)
Top Half Wycombe 5/6 (Now 1/4)
Top Half Bristol Rovers 8/11 (Now 4/9)
Top Seven - Orient 11/8 (Now 3/10)
Top Seven - Northampton 13/8 (Now 13/8)