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Valspar Championship (Day Three)
Patrick Reed 30/1 -4 Tied 5th
Bill Haas leads the way on -8 by a shot from De Laet. Reed is well placed to make a challenge on -4 in a pack which includes Hoffman, Moore, Stricker, Schwartzel, Speith, Stenson, Thomas & Goosen.
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True Thailand Classic (Result)
Another brilliant week with a 45/1 WINNER with Scott Hend and a 25/1 third place with Thomas Pieters.
Thomas Pieters 25/1 -15 Tied 3rd
Scott Hend 45/1 -18 WINNER
Chapchai Nirat 80/1 +4 Tied 67th
Angelo Que 200/1 -5 Tied 40th
Hope you were on this one. That is four winners (8/1, 18/1, 14/1, 45/1) & five runners ups (55/1, 40/1, 35/1, 22/1, 12/1) and other places (100/1, 70/1, 28/1, 70/1, 25/1) in the last seven weeks.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational
This longstanding event on the calendar takes place at Bay Hill Country Club where it has been played for over 30 years. That should mean that we have a good idea what is required but there have been several course adjustments in recent years that need to be built into the equation. The net effect showed last year in that it took a score of -19 to win whereas previously -15 had usually been enough.
Rory McIlroy is favourite with Scott, Stenson, Day, Rose & Matsuyama tucked in behind. I really don't want to go too short here. Scott is reasonable at 8/1 but the other market leaders all have questions about them.
Matt Every has won this event for the last two years so long shots can beat the favourites although there is little to suggest that he will get the hat trick. Hopefully, we can find a few who will give us a good run at a decent price.
Paul Casey 50/1 A course that should suit him and he has been coming back to form recently. Should be good value at this price.
William McGirt 80/1 Has been operating below the radar but is starting to get some attention. At the back end of 2015, he picked up an 8th & a 2nd and he has four top 25 finishes (13th, 24th, 20th, 8th) from six starts.
Scott Brown 100/1 Here is a player who is just coming into form. 39th, 10th & 7th in his last three events, Brown could give a great run at a cracking price.
I notice McGirt is first out so might be worth a FRL bet as well. Quite like Smylie Kaufman as well.
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Hero Indian Open
The New Dehli course should favour GIR players. It is essential not to lose many shots on the tougher holes here where shots can be gained on the par fives by accuracy rather than bombing. Pretty much the opposite of last week's event in Thailand.
The favourites are Lahiri, Luiten, Fraser Uihlein, Rumford & Fleetwood.
Think again we are looking for value at decent prices.
Siddikur Rahman 70/1 When you look at course form, one name jumps out at you. Rahman won this event in 2013 but he also has four second places and ten Top Five finishes from 14 appearances on the course. Looks great value on a course where previous experience counts for a lot.
Chapchai Nirat 90/1 Went with him last week but lacked the power to contend. This course suits him better (12th last year) so will give him another chance at a decent price.
Just two this week unless I find another tomorrow.
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Hero Indian Open
Tommy Fleetwood 25/1
Lee Slattery 80/1
Pablo Larrazabal 33/1
Arnold Palmer Inv
Ryan Moore 33/1
Kevin Kisner 45/1
Keegan Bradley 80/1
Kevin Streelman 125/1
Jamie Lovemark 150/1
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Hero Indian Open
Daniel Im leads the way on -7 in a close packed field of mainly Asian players although several name players (Canizares, Fleetwood, Ormsby, Lipsky, Kieffer & Larrazabal) are right in there. Could be an exciting weekend.
Siddikur Rahman 70/1 -3 Tied 16th
Chapchai Nirat 90/1 -2 Tied 24th
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Arnold Palmer Invitational (Day One)
An exciting first day with Jason Day leading by one shot on -6 from Scott, Leishman, Steele, Stenson & Merritt in a closely bunched field. Day was undoubtedly the star performer as he returned to the form of the end of 2015. However all four of our guys are in great shape to make a challenge over the weekend & this course lends itself to single shots shaping a round. For example, Justin Rose played horribly today but two glorious eagles pushed him from fighting to beat the cut to two shots off the lead.
Some big names fared less well - Woodland +1, Kisner +1, Lee +2, McIlroy +3, Streelman +6.
Adam Scott 8/1 -5 Tied 2nd
Paul Casey 50/1 -4 Tied 7th
William McGirt 80/1 -3 Tied 17th
Scott Brown 100/1 -2 Tied 27th
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Football League Bets
No big bets this week, just two good bets and a few decent bets.
Derby v Nottm F - Four Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 8/11
Ipswich v Rotherham - Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.825
MK Dons v Brighton - Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.925
Bury v Shrewsbury - Two Points on Over 11.5 Corners at 2.00
Crewe v Blackpool - Two Points on Over 10.5 Corners at 4/5
Millwall v Sheff Utd - Two Points on Over 11 Corners (DNB) at 1.90
Scunthorpe v Chesterfeld - Two Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 4/5
Dagenham v Accrington - Four Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.925
Correct Score Bets:
Derby v Nottm F 1-0 1-1
Burnley v Wolves 1-0 2-0
Dagenham v Accrington 0-0 0-1
Stevenage v Northampton 0-1 0-2
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Arnold Palmer Invitational (Day Two)
Jason Day leads by two on -13 from Stenson & Rose. After that, the rest are probably playing for places on -8 and backwards. Hopefully one of our players can make it from the pack. At least they all made the cut unlike English, Kuchar, Woodland, Kisner, Lee, McDowell & Streelman. McIroy hit a 67 to make the weekend.
Adam Scott 8/1 -4 Tied 25th
Paul Casey 50/1 -7 Tied 8th
William McGirt 80/1 -2 Tied 42nd
Scott Brown 100/1 Par Tied 63rd
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Arnold Palmer Invitational (Day Two)
Jason Day leads the way on -15, two clear of Merritt, Chappell & Stenson.
Adam Scott 8/1 -6 Tied 18th
Paul Casey 50/1 -7 Tied 13th
William McGirt 80/1 Par Tied 57th
Scott Brown 100/1 -4 Tied 30th
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