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AT & T Pebble Beach National (Day Two)
Sung Kang & Hiroshi Iwata lead the way on -11 but judging the relative merits of scores is tricky until after Saturday's cut. Big names include Rose (-9), Dustin (Level), Speith (-3), Poulter (+4), Day (-6), Reed (-6), Lowry (Level), Snedeker (Level), Bubba (-2),
Mickelson is right in contention but has the toughest course, Pebble Beach to play today.
Jimmy Walker 18/1 Par Tied 75th
Phil Mickelson 22/1 -10 Tied 3rd
Bryce Molder 100/1 +4 Tied 124th
Aaron Baddeley 200/1 -4 Tied 27th
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Tshwane Open (Day Three)
A decent day for our players with Porteous in good shape three shots behind Schwartzel. Coetzee probably has too much to do to win but can run us into a place with a decent final round.
George Coetzee 15/2 -2 Tied 10th
Haydn Porteous 28/1 -6 Tied 3rd
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AT & T Pebble Beach National (Day Three)
Great day with Mickelson leading the way by two on -16. Hopefully he can hold off all the big names which include Rose (-9), Dustin (-1l), Speith (-1), Poulter (+10), Day (-10), Reed (-5), Lowry (-1), Snedeker (-2), Bubba (Level),
Our Guys:
Jimmy Walker 18/1 -9 Tied 11th
Phil Mickelson 22/1 -16 FIRST
Bryce Molder 100/1 +7 Missed Cut
Aaron Baddeley 200/1 -3 Tied 36th
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Tshwane Open (Day Four)
Didn't happen for our guys in the final round as Schwartzel took the title by eight shots.
George Coetzee 15/2 -1 Tied 14th
Haydn Porteous 28/1 -3 Tied 10th
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15-02-2016, 08:51
(This post was last modified: 15-02-2016, 09:05 by madsteve.)
AT & T Pebble Beach National (Day Four)
Mickelson ended up second but should have won here. A level par round saw him miss out on a Playoff by a shot. He needed two birdies on the final two holes to tie Vaughn Taylor's clubhouse score. He duly hit a birdie two on the 17th with an 18 foot putt and was ideally placed to get a birdie four on the 18th when his eight foot putt rimmed out, leaving him second.
Our Guys:
Jimmy Walker 18/1 -9 Tied 11th
Phil Mickelson 22/1 -16 Second
Aaron Baddeley 200/1 -1 Tied 51st
Shame we couldn't get the win here but that gives us two wins and four second places over the last four weeks and eight tournaments:
Thomas Pieters 55/1 2nd
Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1st
Branden Grace 8/1 1st
Rafa Cabrera Bello 40/1 2nd
Rafa Cabrera Bello 35/1 2nd
Phil Mickelson 22/1 2nd
If we go back a further two weeks, we also got Christiaan Bezuidenhuit for 2nd at 250/1 and places for Jamie Lovemark at 100/1, Joost Luiten at 70/1 & JB Holmes at 28/1 so on a pretty profitable 2016 so far.
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First week with no money back, so cant complain too much.
Lets see what the coming week brings.
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Football League Bets
Blackpool v Oldham
11 of Pool's last 13 home matches have failed to reach 2.5 Goals at an average of 2.0 while 11 of the Latic's 14 away matches have also fallen short of this line at an average of 1.79. Bet Four Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.66
Colchester v Chesterfield
5 of the U's last 7 home matches have dropped short of 10.5 Corners at an average of 8.85 while 6 of the Spireites last 8 away matches have failed to reach this line at an average of 8.25. Bet Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.825
Accrington v Carlisle
This should be a low corners match. 9 of Accrington's 12 ome matches have stopped short of 10.5 Corners at an average of 8.83 while 9 of Carlisle's last 12 away have also gone on the low side at an average of 8.64. Bet Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.775.
York V Exeter
Nine of York's last ten at home have gone over 11.5 Corners at an average of 13.2 while 9 of Exeter's last 11 on the road have also topped this line at an average of 13.55. Bet Four Points on Over 11.5 Corners at 2.00.
Correct Score Bets:
Hull v Brighton 1-0 2-0
Blackpool v Oldham 1-0 0-1
Hartlepool v Notts Co 1-1 2-1
Oxford v Northampton 1-2 2-2
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Maybank Malaysia Open
The Royal Selangor course is new to the European Tour but we have information on it as it has staged plenty of other events. The course favours accuracy off the tee and big hitters tend to struggle unless they are very accurate. It is a par 71 with three par fives & four par threes. The weather forecast is set fair so the draw should have no major effect.
The leading players are Willett, Oosterhuizen, Luiten, Kaymer, Fitzpatrick & Pieters.
Danny Willett 11/1
Willett is a justified favourite here at a fair price. He has two top five finishes out of two in Malaysia and is bang in form with an impressive win in Dubai last week.
Joost Luiten 18/1
Luiten has the perfect game for this course as his driving accuracy is right up there with the best. He has a tour win in Malaysia from 2011 and is right in form with a 5th, 13th & 8th this year from three starts.
Rafael Cabrera Bello 22/1
Two top four finishes from four attempts in the Malaysian Open suggest he likes the courses out here plus another bang in form. We have had two second places in the last two weeks & I see no reason to desert him here despite a diminshing price.
Alejandro Canizares 50/1
Third in last year's Malaysian Open, he is looking to be hitting the form to win soon with two top ten finishes in his three events this year. This could be his week.
Gregory Bourdy 50/1
Another who should be suited by this course. He has three top six finishes from six starts in Malaysia. He has impressed in recent weeks without really getting close. Decent value at 50/1.
Think Canizares at 50/1 and RCB at 33/1 look like the bets for FRL this week.
Good Luck!
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(16-02-2016, 15:12)madsteve Wrote: Football League Bets
Blackpool v Oldham
11 of Pool's last 13 home matches have failed to reach 2.5 Goals at an average of 2.0 while 11 of the Latic's 14 away matches have also fallen short of this line at an average of 1.79. Bet Four Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.66
Colchester v Chesterfield
5 of the U's last 7 home matches have dropped short of 10.5 Corners at an average of 8.85 while 6 of the Spireites last 8 away matches have failed to reach this line at an average of 8.25. Bet Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.825
Accrington v Carlisle
This should be a low corners match. 9 of Accrington's 12 ome matches have stopped short of 10.5 Corners at an average of 8.83 while 9 of Carlisle's last 12 away have also gone on the low side at an average of 8.64. Bet Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.775.
York V Exeter
Nine of York's last ten at home have gone over 11.5 Corners at an average of 13.2 while 9 of Exeter's last 11 on the road have also topped this line at an average of 13.55. Bet Four Points on Over 11.5 Corners at 2.00.
Correct Score Bets:
Hull v Brighton 1-0 2-0
Blackpool v Oldham 1-0 0-1
Hartlepool v Notts Co 1-1 2-1
Oxford v Northampton 1-2 2-2
Three out of four winners tonight:
Blackpool v Oldham 0-0 WON
Colchester v Chesterfield 5 Corners - WON
Accrington v Carlisle 5 Corners - WON
York v Exeter 8 Corners - Lost
Profit of 1.84 Points.
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Northern Trust Open
A strong field here with Speith, McIlroy, Dustin, Matsuyama, Bubba, Rose, Walker, Garcia & Scott the biggest names here this week. There are question marks about all of them which makes it an open contest & one on which I am looking for players to upset the favoured players.
The Riviera course seems to favour GIR & Putting players. The course has Kikuya grass, a rarity on the PGA tour but normal in South Africa so could favour players with experience of S African conditions.
Charl Schwartzel 33/1
Schwartzel has experience in spades of playing on this grass and should be around half this price in my opinion. He has played this event twice & and finished 3rd & 5th. He is currently in form with fur consecutive top ten finishes including two wins, in the Alfred Dunhill and last week at Tshwane by eight shots. Should be close if big names slip up.
Freddie Jacobson 66/1
Jacobson is in form with three top five finishes in his last four events. He is a bit of a streaky player so could be a good time to take advantage of his hot streak.
Smylie Kaufman 200/1
Think Smylie is a quality player. He picked up his first PGA Tour win in October and more will follow. The field is tough here but at 200/1, he is value.
Good Luck!
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