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Career Builder Challenge (Day Four)
Bill Haas 28/1 -19 Tied 9th
Jamie Lovemark 100/1 -20 Tied 6th (WINNER - 2/3 PLACE - 40/3)
Robert Garrigus 200/1 -11 Tied 49th
We got a 2/3 place on Lovemark at 100/1 which paid out at 40/3 (7 places paid at 1/5 odds) which makes it a very profitable weekend.
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Qatar Masters
This event is played at the Doha Golf Club and the form from previous years gives us a pretty clear identikit picture of our likely winner. The course favours good driving distance but less so driving accuracy as the rough is short and not to be feared much. GIR and putting accuracy are the other key attributes here. It is also noticeable that previous winners here are players that perform well on links courses so looking at links winners could be useful.
The wind can be a big factor here but the weather reports are inconclusive as to when the wind will hit but it could easily rule out half the field if it hits at the wrong time. It usually takes a score between -14 & -20 to win here so birdies on the par five holes is important.
Also this tournament is played Wednesday - Saturday so don't forget to get on early.
Branden Grace & Sergio Garcia lead the betting followed by Pieters, Oosterhuizen & Fitzpatrick.
I think the bookies appear to have the odds about right so I am betting smaller this week and have covered more players.
Branden Grace 8/1
Grace is a worthy favourite. He won here last year with a total of -19. He meets the profile to do well on this course and is in form, finishing in the Top Eight in all of his last five tournaments including Tied 5th last week at Abu Dhabi.
Sergio Garcia 9/1
Garcia won here two years ago so is proven over the course. It is his first event of the year so form is uncertain but when he is hot, he is hot & could easily hit six birdies on the trot to boost his chances. Think the price is about fair.
Thomas Pieters 20/1
I was hoping for a better price but the combination of last week's second place and course that is ideal for him, means the bookies are taking no chances. He belts his drives a long way and shouldn't get in too much trouble with wayward drives, meaning he should be chasing birdies on all the par five holes. He is also more than capable around the green & is usually a top putter.
Rafa Cabrera Bello 40/1
Think 40/1 is great value for another player ideally suited by this course. He has two third place finishes in this event and looked good last week in his first event of the year, finishing 14th. He should go closer this week.
Trevor Fisher Jnr 90/1
He has performed well this season but is still under the radar so 90/1 is great value. In his three tournaments this year, he has finished Tied 8th, Tied 13th & Tied 16th.
Bryson De Chambeau 80/1
Showed his potential last week, leading after Round One. Will have learned from that and will last longer this time. 80/1 is about right but I will stand by my man.
I think there are quite a few others who should do well and were on my long list including Chris Wood, Alejandro Canizares, Thomas Bjorn, Mikko Ilonen, Eddie Pepperell, Tyrrell Hatton, Marc Warren, Brett Rumford & Michael Hoey.
There will be a high luck factor but hopefully with six players, we get some that get best of the conditions.
Good Luck!
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26-01-2016, 20:14
(This post was last modified: 26-01-2016, 20:49 by madsteve.)
Farners Insurance Open
It is the 64th staging of this tournament at Torrey Pines, California. The event is played over the North & South courses with all players playing once on the easier North Course so if going for a first round leader, go for a player who starts on the North Course.
The South Course is the longest on the PGA Tour so driving length is a great advantage. Course form is an advantage here with five of the last ten winners having a top ten finish in one of their previous two appearances. No debutant has won since the tournament moved here in 1968.
It is quite a strong field with Jason Day, Rickie Fowler, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson and Justin Rose all competing.
Note that the number of places varies from five up to seven so choose your bookie carefully.
Jason Day 7/1
It is hard to look past the favourite as the most likely winner. He won this event in 2015 after finishing 2nd in 2014 & 9th in 2013. He finished 2015 by winning four of his last six tournaments. He has had a four month break but still finished 10th in the Tournament of Champions courtesy of a final round 65.
Brandt Snedeker 18/1
Snedeker is bang in form with a 3rd at the Tournament of Champions and a 2nd at the Sony Open. He won here in 2012 and has six Top Ten finishes here including four Top Three finishes.
Jamie Lovemark 70/1
Cant desert him after his place last week. Still really good value at 70/1.
Smylie Kaufman 100/1
Picked up his maiden PGA Tour event at the Shriners in October and is looking good again. Should give us a good run for our money
Ryan Ruffels 500/1
This is a bit of a punt but the 17 year old Aussie has been making a few waves. Have had good runs with long shots recently so why not?
Good Luck!
Football League Bets
One small bet for tonight.
Peterboro v Burton
Bet Two Points on Over 10.5 Corners at 1.875
Correct Score Bets
Nottm F v QPR 1-1 2-1
Bury v Crewe 2-1 3-2
Fleetwood v Walsall 1-1 1-2
Shrewsbury v Oldham 1-0 1-1
Good Luck!
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Cheltenham 23/10 on Bet 365 against Oxford City looks a good price depending what team he puts out
Have you heard about the news on Mizar 5
People got to shout to stay alive
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(26-01-2016, 20:14)madsteve Wrote: Farners Insurance Open
It is the 64th staging of this tournament at Torrey Pines, California. The event is played over the North & South courses with all players playing once on the easier North Course so if going for a first round leader, go for a player who starts on the North Course.
The South Course is the longest on the PGA Tour so driving length is a great advantage. Course form is an advantage here with five of the last ten winners having a top ten finish in one of their previous two appearances. No debutant has won since the tournament moved here in 1968.
It is quite a strong field with Jason Day, Rickie Fowler, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson and Justin Rose all competing.
Note that the number of places varies from five up to seven so choose your bookie carefully.
Jason Day 7/1
It is hard to look past the favourite as the most likely winner. He won this event in 2015 after finishing 2nd in 2014 & 9th in 2013. He finished 2015 by winning four of his last six tournaments. He has had a four month break but still finished 10th in the Tournament of Champions courtesy of a final round 65.
Brandt Snedeker 18/1
Snedeker is bang in form with a 3rd at the Tournament of Champions and a 2nd at the Sony Open. He won here in 2012 and has six Top Ten finishes here including four Top Three finishes.
Jamie Lovemark 70/1
Cant desert him after his place last week. Still really good value at 70/1.
Smylie Kaufman 100/1
Picked up his maiden PGA Tour event at the Shriners in October and is looking good again. Should give us a good run for our money
Ryan Ruffels 500/1
This is a bit of a punt but the 17 year old Aussie has been making a few waves. Have had good runs with long shots recently so why not?
Good Luck!
Football League Bets
One small bet for tonight.
Peterboro v Burton
Bet Two Points on Over 10.5 Corners at 1.875
Correct Score Bets
Nottm F v QPR 1-1 2-1
Bury v Crewe 2-1 3-2
Fleetwood v Walsall 1-1 1-2
Shrewsbury v Oldham 1-0 1-1
Good Luck!
Our football bet won comfortably - 10 corners by half time.
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Qatar Masters
Branden Grace 8/1 -2 Tied 38th
Sergio Garcia 9/1 -2 Tied 38th
Thomas Pieters 20/1 +3 Tied 106th
Rafa Cabrera Bello 40/1 -5 Tied 5th
Trevor Fisher Jnr 90/1 Par Tied 61st
Bryson De Chambeau 80/1 +1 Tied 80th
Our three most fancied players got the worst of the weather today so need the best of it tomorrow to get into contention. Only RBC had a good day as he had the best of the weather.
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Farmers Insurance Open
Brandt Snedeker 16/1
Justin Rose 20/1
Hideki Matsuyama 28/1
Shane Lowry 66/1
Keegan Bradley 80/1
Nothing great will ever be achieved without great men, and men are great only if they are determined to be so. For glory gives herself only to those who have always dreamed of her.
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Qatar Masters (Day Two)
The weather favoured the early starters again today which meant that it probably evened things out over the two days
Branden Grace 8/1 -7 Tied 11th
Sergio Garcia 9/1 -8 Tied 6th
Thomas Pieters 20/1 -1 Tied 66th
Rafa Cabrera Bello 40/1 -9 Tied 3rd
Trevor Fisher Jnr 90/1 -2 Tied 57th
Bryson De Chambeau 80/1 -1 Tied 66th
All our players made the cut. RCB, Garcia & Grace are all in serious contention for the win but with extreme weather forecast for tomorrow then anything could happen.
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Farners Insurance Open (Day One)
Jason Day 7/1 Level Tied 76th
Brandt Snedeker 18/1 +1 Tied 90th
Jamie Lovemark 70/1 Level Tied 76th
Smylie Kaufman 100/1 -3 Tied 15th
Ryan Ruffels 500/1 -2 Tied 34th
Not a great opening day for our guys but we will have a better idea of positions after round two when everyone has played both courses. Already though the pre tournament favourites, Day, Snedeker, Fowler & Rose are well down the field.
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Qatar Masters (Day Tnree)
A mixed day for our players with Grace & RCB in contention while Garcia's putting saw him fall away. Paul Lawrie leads the way on -13 but a round under 68 could take it for one of our guys.
Branden Grace 8/1 -11 Tied 2nd
Sergio Garcia 9/1 -6 Tied 19th
Thomas Pieters 20/1 -2 Tied 46th
Rafa Cabrera Bello 40/1 -10 Tied 4th
Trevor Fisher Jnr 90/1 -5 Tied 25th
Bryson De Chambeau 80/1 +1 Tied 68th
The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.
