(03-11-2015, 16:28)madsteve Wrote: A few decent bets for tonight's SBC matches.
Leeds v Cardiff
Six of Leeds' seven home matches have failed to reach 2.5 goals while Cardiff's last three away matches have failed to reach 2.5 goals including 0-0 draws in the last two. Bet One Point on Under 2.5 Goals.
Six of Leeds' seven home matches have had less than 10.5 corners at an average of 8.71 while four of Cardiff's last six away matches failed to reach this line at an average of 9.5. Bet Two Points on Under 10.5 Corners at 1.80.
Preston v Nottm Fo
Five of Preston's seven home matches have failed to reach 2,5 goals at an average of 1.43 goals per match while six of Forest's seven away matches have fallen short of this line. Bet Two Points on Under 2.5 Goals at 1.80.
Correct Score Bets
Leeds v Cardiff 0-0 0-1
Derby v QPR 2-0 2-1
Middlesbrough v Rotherham 2-0 3-0
Reading v Huddersfield 1-0 2-0
All three bets won comfortably last night to register a tidy profit and more than cover any losses from the weekend.
Sanderson Farms Championship
This tournament features one of the weakest fields that we are likely to see Stateside so picking a winner could be pretty tricky. It is being played for the second time at the Jackson Country Club, Mississippi so we have limited course form to go on.
In my mind, I was favouring Jason Bohn here & looking for a price of 25/1 - 33/1 but the bookies have priced him as the 12/1 favourite so I cannot see any value. This is a great opportunity for a rookie to claim their first win while the journeymen players will see this as a chance to claim that once per season win.
The limited evidence suggests that this tournnament will be won by whoever scores best on the par 5s. The other key factors are likely to be GIR & Putting.
I expected Patrick Rodgers to be the favourite here but he is rated second at 14/1. I think that is a fair price but I think we have to go for something bigger priced in a very open event.
Kevin Streelman 33/1
We had Streelman two weeks ago in his last tournament at the Shriners and he gave us a decent run and a Top Twenty finish. This is a much weaker field and with the vast majority looking for their maiden win, we at least know Streelman can get over the line on a Sunday and at 33/1, we get a fair price on a player that is unreliable but can win when he is hot.
Graham DeLaet 40/1
Talking of unreliable, I have chosen to go with DeLaet. On his day, he can beat everyone here and at 40/1, we are getting decent value. It is a bit of a "stick a pin in it" sort of event but at least we know De Laet is one of the better players.
Dawie van der Walt 125/1
Obviously at this price he is a bit of a punt but there will probably be three players at 100/1+ placed here. I like his form on the Web.com tour last season and his 3rd place for GIR and 6th for Par 5 scoring are perfect for this course so he could be a lively outsider.
Paddy Power are offering 1/5 for 7 places so great value there particularly as this is an event which could throw up a long priced winner and most likely will give some big priced places. Certainly an event worth watching because we get to see a lot of the rookies in action and maybe we spot the next Justin Thomas.
Others that might be worth considering are: William McGirt, Smylie Kaufman & Jhonattan Vegas.
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