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The gambling/betting thread
Italian Open

Danny Willett 14/1 (General)

The price might be a little skinny as he hasn't been active recently but for me he is the class act in the field. If he gets a decent start, he will go very close.

Matt Fitzpatrick 28/1 (Betfred)

Continuing my bias towards players from Sheffield, I have to side with Fitzpatrick. His 60 last week showed what he is capable of and he will put four top rounds together soon. He has had a top three finish in each of the last three months. Like with Pieters, I want to be with him when it happens.

Eddie Pepperell 28/1 (Paddy Power)

Another bright young thing that has been knocking on the door for months. 2nd at Dubai in May, 4th at Scottish Open in July then 5th last week at the Dutch. If he can keep his mind on the golf then this could be his week.

Rafael Cabrera Bello 33/1 (Bet Victor)

Quite a few times I have found my players up against RCB in the final stages this season and while he has a tendancy to falter on a Sunday when well placed, I cannot help but think this guy is going to win soon.

Robert Dinwiddie 100/1 (General)

I backed Dinwiddie at the Czech Masters where he finished 4th after a poor final round. He is starting to be more consistent. His last 20 rounds are 70-68-71-63-70-70-67-69-69-67-68-70-73-69-68-69-67-70-70-62. His final round 62 last Sunday may have gone under the bookies radar but gave him a fifth consecutive top thirty finish.

Tommy Fleetwood is appealing at 50/1 but he has let me down too often & I want to see more before I go with him again.

BMW Championship

This is tricky with the top five in the betting (Day, McIlroy, Speith, Stenson & Fowler) accounting for almost 50% of the market. It is pretty much a question of picking one of these five or picking a string of outsiders to take them on. I am going to take them on.

Zach Johnson 25/1 (General)

He has to be the favourite without the big five. He won here two years ago & the course is ideally suited to his game.

Louis Oosterhuizen 50/1 (General)

He hasn't showed his best form recently but this should be the perfect couse for him and at 50/1, he is great value. He also needs the FedEx points to progress.

David Lingmerth 150/1 (Coral)

This is a bit of a punt but he appeared on my radar when he cost me money by beating Justin Rose in a playoff at the Memorial back in July. I looked up his form and he had four missed cuts in his previous five outings. The following week he was 64th but then he stormed back with a 6th at the Greenbrier Classic. He followed that with a 74th but came back with a 3rd at the Quicken Loans and a 6th at the Bridgestone. Get the picture - he is inconsistent! Since his 12th at the PGA last month, he has missed the cut twice so maybe. just maybe.........

I would also add that Jim Furyk is a bit of a course specialist here & holds the course record of 59 but this is reflected in his price and don't see much value at 20/1.
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BMW:

Henrik Stenson 12/1
Robert Streb 60/1
Brooks Koepka 50/1

Open D'Italia:

Matthew Fitzpatrick 20/1
Eddie Pepperell 25/1
Rikard Karlberg 66/1
Morten Orum Madsen 80/1
Wade Ormsby 100/1
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just jumped on those selections MS.

fingers crossed!
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(15-09-2015, 12:11)Owlkev71 Wrote: BMW:

Henrik Stenson 12/1
Robert Streb 60/1
Brooks Koepka 50/1

Open D'Italia:

Matthew Fitzpatrick 20/1
Eddie Pepperell 25/1
Rikard Karlberg 66/1
Morten Orum Madsen 80/1
Wade Ormsby 100/1

Like Stenson obviously but at 12/1????? Koepka could be a good shout as he may feel he has something to prove this week.

I thought about Ormsby. He has put himself up there a bit recently at big prices. A fair shot.

Three bets for tonight but still keeping it small as form is still not solid.

Cardiff City v Hull City - Under 10.5 Corners at 1.825 (Bet365)
Leeds Utd v Ipswich T - Under 10.5 Corners at 1.80 (Bet365)
Preston v Bristol City - Under 10.5 Corners at 1.925 (Bet365)

Good Luck!
The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.
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On it like a car bonnet!

hoping they come in as I am down to my last 20p in Bet365 account! Big Grin
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Italian Open

Danny Willett 14/1 (General) -4 Tied 22nd
Matt Fitzpatrick 28/1 (Betfred) -2 Tied 57th
Eddie Pepperell 28/1 (Paddy Power) Level Tied 100th
Rafael Cabrera Bello 33/1 (Bet Victor) -2 Tied 57th
Robert Dinwiddie 100/1 (General) -2 Tied 57th

Not a great start but a good round tomorrow could throw anyone into contention.
The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.
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BMW:

Henrik Stenson +1 thru 13
Robert Streb E thru 13
Brooks Koepka +4

Play Suspended

Open D'Italia:

Matthew Fitzpatrick -5 thru 12
Eddie Pepperell E after Rnd 1
Rikard Karlberg -12 thru 13
Morten Orum Madsen -2 thru 9
Wade Ormsby -7 thru 11

Karlberg now leads in the 2nd Rnd by 2 but still plenty of other players still to play
Nothing great will ever be achieved without great men, and men are great only if they are determined to be so. For glory gives herself only to those who have always dreamed of her.
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Italian Open

Danny Willett 14/1 (General) -9 Tied 13th
Matt Fitzpatrick 28/1 (Betfred) -6 Tied 41st
Eddie Pepperell 28/1 (Paddy Power) -3 Tied 79th Missed Cut
Rafael Cabrera Bello 33/1 (Bet Victor) -5 Tied 48th
Robert Dinwiddie 100/1 (General) -1 Tied 114th Missed Cut

Willett is in reasonable shape but the others have to go on the charge tomorrow to get into contention.
The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.
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Just won a tenner on first try scorer!

Cant believe Mike Brown was 10/1
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BMW

Oosterhuizen -5 Tied 34th
Johnson -5 Tied 34th
Lingmerth -4 Tied 38th

Jason Day pretty much has it won after two rounds. Hopefully one of our guys can force their way into a place.
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