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28-04-2017, 00:36
(This post was last modified: 28-04-2017, 00:38 by 0762.)
It appears that the EU are gonna 'throw another spanner in the Brexit works' tomorrow by suggesting that the reunification of Ireland is distinctly possible bearing in mind the predicament of NI and how to easily resolve it with sympathetic assurances and approval of such a process! That would also add an element of optimism from a Scottish (Scot Indy 2) perspective if it is confirmed in the next 24 hours!
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Spot on Jim! That's precisely the point (s) that was being made re their recognition of a united Ireland if it came about!
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This is the real problem that cruella has - she would like the negotiations to be kept secret for obvious reasons (the weakness and incompetence of our position and the tories suppression of it) but this is impossible. The commission has to brief 27 different Governments and leaks are inevitable.
The EU is going for transparency and have been up front about what they want. The UK to settle its bill and guarantee the rights of EU citizens in the UK. Until that happens we are out in the cold.
I really don't think a lot of people have grasped how many UK manufacturers, though not technically exporting to the EU, are dependent on customers whose core markets are in the EU.
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This is all just posturing by both sides, this sort of rhetoric should have been expected from both sides but in the end they will overall meet somewhere in the middle. Some topics will be driven hard by one side, other topics by the others, but as with all negotiations you will take a loss on some things to win on others depending on the goals you set and the importance of the topic to each side.
As regards keeping the negotiations secret, then it would be naive and foolish to lay all your cards on the table before they actually get going!! As you say keeping the EUs stance on issue will be virtually impossible considering the number of people involved but May should keep her cards close to her chest in the hope of getting as good a deal as she can, doesn't mean it will be a great deal or even a good one, but it might be the best we can get. The EU are not going for transparency either, they are putting out some particular points that they intend to push hard but that doesn't mean they won't compromise on them if they need to.
As regards trade between the UK and EU, then this will have to be worked out because its too important to both sides. We import more from the EU than we export to them, so we have more to lose but when you consider the value of our exports to the EU (230b in 2015) then neither side can afford to lose this trade. We have a trade deficit with Germany of over 25 billion, it is not in Germany's interests to not strike a deal to allow German companies to continue to benefit from the UK market, just as much as its not in our interests either. Sure some companies will possibly move to keep their share, but likewise you may see some EU companies who are reliant on the UK market to move to the UK to maintain their sales there.
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02-05-2017, 10:09
(This post was last modified: 02-05-2017, 10:10 by hibeejim21.)
The EU are in a much better position to absorb any losses than the UK. Which is something that seems to be getting overlooked.
I think executives of companies in the EU27 are rather more concerned about how the average British worker will be able to afford to buy their goods after the sort of hard brexit that St Theresa & eton mess are pushing for. So should you be.
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Shehab Khan
✔ @ShehabKhan
Unconfirmed reports of an investigation into Theresa May's husband's financial group making millions from sensitive info from Brexit...