[St Charles Owl]

Trump is running a campaign on law and order, he is literally staying away from any other topic and he believes this policy will be more acceptable to his base. Of course all the violence we are seeing is happening on his watch so its a double edged sword as all he is offering is that if Biden is elected then we will descend into violence in the cities, but that is where we are now anyway?? Biden yesterday made a point of talking about law and order, pointing out that it has severely deteriorated since Trump took office and that he is against looting, arson and other violence. I think Biden should keep to this message somewhat while still highlighting the abject failure of this administration to deal with Covid nor their ability to protect a rising but fragile economy. The US unemployment rate has grown so much higher during the pandemic than other Western countries, it now stands at 10.2% compared to UK at 3.9, Germany 4.4, France 6.9, Japan 2.9 and the Eurozone 7.9. So not only are more people dying but the protection offered to businesses during the shutdowns has been so mismanaged that it has caused high unemployment and a 30% drop in GDP!! Other countries are not immune from making mistakes with Covid but they have been more creative with protecting the economies and they have at least tried to correct things as the pandemic has progressed, the Trump administration have just largely dismissed and ignored it.

To answer your question Jim, I would put the money on Biden to win, but the Democrats have to keep to their message and Biden must not screw up at all. We know what to expect from Trump, his message and tactics are the same as what we saw 4 years ago, the Dems must be learning from the mistakes they made then and making sure their voters turnout.