17-03-2019, 21:12
Right kiddies we are now into the end game I have contributed little to this thread however this is my prediction of what will happen
Tuesday May loses vote again
Wednesday Corbyn calls Confidence vote in Government
Thursday May due to go to Brussels to negotiate extension of A 50, can't go if CV
Scenario 1
May wins VC vote goes to Brussels Friday, no guarentee she will get an extension, comes back to Parliament for yet another vote again next week she'll lose that as well. No time to pas Act of Parliament to change A50 leave EU 29/3/2019
Scenario 2
Corbyn wins confidence vote, which means Goverment has two weeks to form a new administration, during this period they cannot pass any legisdlation until new Government formed on 3/4/2019 by which time we have left the EU
Scenario 3 Any extension to A 50 would need to go to the House of Commons twice and the House of Lords once, it would probably pass the first chambers however they have no time limits on debates filibustering will take place especially amonst Brexit supporting Lords also may put quite a few amendments on to Bill which will need to be debated in House Of Commomns, by my reckoning they will have five days to do this.
Scenario 4
Could be wrong on 1,2 and 3 but my guess is for 2
Tuesday May loses vote again
Wednesday Corbyn calls Confidence vote in Government
Thursday May due to go to Brussels to negotiate extension of A 50, can't go if CV
Scenario 1
May wins VC vote goes to Brussels Friday, no guarentee she will get an extension, comes back to Parliament for yet another vote again next week she'll lose that as well. No time to pas Act of Parliament to change A50 leave EU 29/3/2019
Scenario 2
Corbyn wins confidence vote, which means Goverment has two weeks to form a new administration, during this period they cannot pass any legisdlation until new Government formed on 3/4/2019 by which time we have left the EU
Scenario 3 Any extension to A 50 would need to go to the House of Commons twice and the House of Lords once, it would probably pass the first chambers however they have no time limits on debates filibustering will take place especially amonst Brexit supporting Lords also may put quite a few amendments on to Bill which will need to be debated in House Of Commomns, by my reckoning they will have five days to do this.
Scenario 4
Could be wrong on 1,2 and 3 but my guess is for 2
Have you heard about the news on Mizar 5
People got to shout to stay alive
People got to shout to stay alive